SOL Price Prediction: Analyzing the Path to Recovery Through 2040

#SOL

• Oversold Technicals: SOL is trading near its lower Bollinger Band and far below key moving averages, suggesting a potential bounce or consolidation is technically plausible in the near term.
• Shifting Fundamentals: The growing Real-World Asset (RWA) narrative and signs of network metrics bottoming out provide a fundamental basis for cautious optimism, though the path to full recovery remains uncertain.
• Long-Term Speculative Range: Forecasts from 2026 to 2040 show a wide potential price range, highlighting the high uncertainty and dependency on broader crypto adoption, technological execution, and Solana's ability to maintain competitive relevance.

SOL Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: SOL Shows Oversold Conditions with Potential Reversal Signals

According to BTCC financial analyst James, SOL's current price of $92.33 sits significantly below its 20-day moving average of $118.89, indicating a strong bearish momentum in the short term. The price is trading NEAR the lower Bollinger Band at $89.57, which often acts as a support level and suggests the asset is oversold. The MACD, while positive at 4.29, shows the fast line (16.97) above the slow line (12.68), but the convergence indicates weakening bullish momentum. The wide gap between the price and the middle band highlights a potential for a mean reversion move if buying pressure emerges.

Market Sentiment: Cautious Optimism Emerges Amid Fundamental Shifts

BTCC financial analyst James notes that market sentiment for solana is shifting from purely bearish to cautiously optimistic. The strengthening 'recovery narrative' is supported by growth in Real-World Assets (RWA) and favorable regulatory developments, which could attract institutional interest. While the shift of a major fund's focus away from crypto venture capital introduces a note of caution, on-chain metrics showing signs of 'bottoming out' provide a technical foundation for the improved sentiment. The overall narrative suggests a building case for a potential trend reversal, contingent on sustained fundamental progress.

Factors Influencing SOL’s Price

Solana Recovery Narrative Strengthens Amid RWA Growth and Regulatory Tailwinds

Solana's recovery thesis gains credibility as real-world asset activity on the network surpasses $1.15 billion. Despite SOL's 25% retreat from January highs, institutional analysts highlight improving fundamentals—record network usage and a favorable regulatory shift are reshaping long-term projections.

The $95-$100 support zone emerges as a critical battleground, with technical indicators flashing oversold conditions that historically precede rebounds. A decisive hold above this range could catalyze moves toward $150, while breach scenarios remain contingent on broader crypto market sentiment.

Multicoin Capital Co-Founder Shifts Focus from Crypto VC to AI and Robotics

Kyle Samani, co-founder and managing partner of Multicoin Capital, is stepping back from his day-to-day role at the crypto-focused venture capital firm to pursue new ventures in artificial intelligence and robotics. This MOVE follows nearly a decade of leadership in blockchain and crypto investments.

Multicoin Capital confirmed the transition in a blog post signed by co-founder Tushar Jain, Samani, and the broader team. While Samani will no longer focus full-time on crypto, he remains involved in key roles within the industry.

Under Samani's leadership, Multicoin grew into a prominent name in crypto venture capital, known for early bets on blockchain projects, particularly within the solana ecosystem. His evolving interests now extend beyond crypto into AI, robotics, and longevity research.

Solana Shows Signs of Bottoming Out as Metrics Improve

Solana's SOL token appears to be stabilizing NEAR the $100 support level after a 30% monthly decline. Technical indicators suggest the sell-off may be exhausting, with RSI readings dipping into oversold territory for the first time since late 2025.

Network activity paints a bullish counterpoint to recent price action. Daily active users have rebounded 85% from December lows, now consistently holding above 5 million addresses. This fundamental strength contrasts with the prolonged technical correction.

Chart patterns reveal a potential inflection point. The current price aligns with the lower boundary of a multi-year descending channel, while momentum indicators flash oversold signals that historically precede sharp reversals. A sustained hold above $100 could catalyze a rally toward $140-$175.

SOL Price Predictions: 2026, 2030, 2035, 2040 Forecasts

Based on the current technical setup and evolving fundamental narrative, BTCC financial analyst James provides the following long-term outlook for SOL. These projections are contingent on Solana successfully executing its recovery, maintaining network growth, and capturing market share in the RWA and DeFi sectors. Predictions assume varying degrees of overall crypto market adoption.

Important Disclaimer: These are speculative forecasts, not financial advice. Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile and influenced by unpredictable factors including technological developments, regulatory changes, and macroeconomic conditions. The provided technical data shows significant current downside pressure, which must be acknowledged.